Search found 324 matches

by peterhurford
Fri Dec 19, 2014 6:28 pm
Forum: Felicifia feedback and technical support
Topic: Felicifia Is No Longer Accepting New Users
Replies: 8
Views: 10459

Re: Felicifia Is No Longer Accepting New Users

We re-opened to allow Sasha to experiment with regrowing the forum. We're now closing again until Sasha has more time to devote to this.
by peterhurford
Fri Dec 19, 2014 6:27 pm
Forum: Welcome to Felicifia
Topic: lucky me
Replies: 21
Views: 17640

Re: lucky me

Congrats, Boris!
by peterhurford
Thu Nov 20, 2014 2:38 pm
Forum: Felicifia feedback and technical support
Topic: Felicifia Is No Longer Accepting New Users
Replies: 8
Views: 10459

Re: Felicifia Is No Longer Accepting New Users

We're now experimenting with reopening the forum again.
by peterhurford
Thu Nov 20, 2014 1:58 am
Forum: Philanthropy
Topic: I'm planning on saving instead of donating. Thoughts?
Replies: 17
Views: 11915

Re: I'm planning on saving instead of donating. Thoughts?

My current intuition is that my money is best saved to leverage high-impact projects that I more uniquely have access to, like a study of vegetarian advocacy or helping Charity Science start out. I think the money is also useful if I want to start passive income projects or start-ups. I do intend to...
by peterhurford
Thu Nov 20, 2014 1:49 am
Forum: Felicifia feedback and technical support
Topic: Felicifia Is No Longer Accepting New Users
Replies: 8
Views: 10459

Re: Felicifia Is No Longer Accepting New Users

I don't think there's sufficient user demand to justify re-opening Felicifia at this point. I'd be happy to hand over the reigns of Felicifia to you, though, if you'd like to try to revive it.
by peterhurford
Fri Oct 03, 2014 11:17 pm
Forum: Felicifia feedback and technical support
Topic: Felicifia Is No Longer Accepting New Users
Replies: 8
Views: 10459

Felicifia Is No Longer Accepting New Users

With the new EA forum, the large decline in Felicifia usage, Brian Tomasik and I have decided to shut down Felicifia for new users starting now. New users were overwhelmingly likely to be spambots anyway. All content on Felicifia will continue to be retained indefinitely. And the board will still wo...
by peterhurford
Fri Sep 26, 2014 2:30 pm
Forum: Applied ethics
Topic: Pamphlet
Replies: 2
Views: 4656

Re: Pamphlet

I've definitely seen some custom made ones before. I'd recommend asking on the Effective Altruism Facebook group and/or browsing the "Files" section of that group.
by peterhurford
Sat Aug 30, 2014 2:29 pm
Forum: Applied ethics
Topic: Earthquake Prediction Project
Replies: 35
Views: 21228

Re: Earthquake Prediction Project

Did your training set include things that were not earthquakes?
by peterhurford
Thu Aug 28, 2014 8:31 pm
Forum: Applied ethics
Topic: Earthquake Prediction Project
Replies: 35
Views: 21228

Re: Earthquake Prediction Project

It would be cool if the website also steadily collected real earthquake data, and tracked how the prediction measured to the actual.
by peterhurford
Mon Aug 25, 2014 1:26 pm
Forum: Applied ethics
Topic: Earthquake Prediction Project
Replies: 35
Views: 21228

Re: Earthquake Prediction Project

I hope you're successful, so that I can tell all my friends, "Yeah, that's the guy that figured out how to predict earthquakes more accurately than anyone before. Yeah, he figured it out on the forum that I moderate. Yeah, I did my best to try and talk him out of it." ;)
by peterhurford
Sat Aug 23, 2014 2:44 pm
Forum: Applied ethics
Topic: Earthquake Prediction Project
Replies: 35
Views: 21228

Re: Earthquake Prediction Project

The training error / validation error / test error is indeed weird, but maybe they're printed backwards?

How likely is something like this to arrive due to spurious noise? Or some methodological error?
by peterhurford
Thu Aug 21, 2014 2:57 am
Forum: Applied ethics
Topic: Earthquake Prediction Project
Replies: 35
Views: 21228

Re: Earthquake Prediction Project

Hm, I do data science, but I've never worked with neural nets, so I can't offer any help. But glad you're informed about this. And it certainly is worth doing, if solely from a "learn more about data science by applying it" perspective.
by peterhurford
Mon Aug 18, 2014 11:12 pm
Forum: Applied ethics
Topic: Earthquake Prediction Project
Replies: 35
Views: 21228

Re: Earthquake Prediction Project

Note that there's a good wealth of study on this topic already. The consensus seems to be that predicting earthquakes is incredibly hard.
by peterhurford
Thu Aug 07, 2014 6:21 pm
Forum: Philanthropy
Topic: How many hedons per dollar?
Replies: 7
Views: 8029

Re: How many hedons per dollar?

As for PR, it would certainly allocate public attention to effective giving. If you could combine it with organ donations somehow, you could actually set an example for heroic altruism. Will Smith did that in the movies. 8-) I think people would think: It's sick / disgraceful / wasteful to kill you...
by peterhurford
Thu Jul 24, 2014 1:47 pm
Forum: General discussion
Topic: Are humans more benevolent or malevolent?
Replies: 7
Views: 9622

Re: Are humans more benevolent or malevolent?

Maybe this comment is written by a person hired via crowdsourcing to produce short, coherent forum comments? That seems pretty plausible to me. Regardless, verdict = http://www.hrwiki.org/w/images/c/cc/deleted.PNG Better spam strategy: go back to the plan where you don't put in the spam link until ...
by peterhurford
Mon Jul 07, 2014 4:36 am
Forum: Utilitarianism and friends
Topic: David Benatar, "Better Never to Have Been"
Replies: 22
Views: 16535

Re: David Benatar, "Better Never to Have Been"

So, those thinkers see Happiness as a sole presence of pleasure with no pain; and, of course, only an happy life is worthy to be. More exigent, intransigent. No, just that pain is more prevalent than happiness, especially when weighted for salience. - If I remember correctly, his main idea was basi...
by peterhurford
Sat Jul 05, 2014 4:31 pm
Forum: Utilitarianism and friends
Topic: David Benatar, "Better Never to Have Been"
Replies: 22
Views: 16535

Re: David Benatar, "Better Never to Have Been"

After all, why to be a negative-utilitarian? Only when the positive way is blocked as failed surplus of pleasure over pain, if I’m not mistaken. This wouldn't be the reason that Bentar or most negative utilitarians would give. Instead, it's about how pain is so much more salient than pleasure, espe...
by peterhurford
Fri Jun 27, 2014 2:53 pm
Forum: Applied ethics
Topic: The lowest bar
Replies: 5
Views: 5108

Re: The lowest bar

Well, this depends on the additional externalities of that happiness. If economic growth perpetually depended on making some bottom layer of victims unhappy, it could be plausibly a negative. And as Brian has pointed out in the past, the sign of marginal speedups of growth is not clear either. I su...